Low Risk High Reward Craps Strategy
2021年2月28日Register here: http://gg.gg/oh8to
*Low Risk High Reward Hard Ways Craps Strategy
*High Risk Reward Stock
*Low Risk High Reward Business
I’m writing a series of blog posts about casino games and the good and bad strategies for playing those games.
Craps is one of my favorite casino games, so I’ve been looking forward to writing this one.
In craps, a good strategy is to maintain a pattern and stick to it. If you want to make a one time killing, then bet on the high-odds propositions, but don’t be surprised if you are disappointed. Whether you quit after a win or spend a long time at the table, it’s all about the playing. Best case scenario is the numbers keep hitting so you can spread to different numbers or keep pressing. Its a low risk, possible high reward system. I usually play this until I am up $100 and then when the table turns cold I like to hammer the Don’t. Roulette Strategies With Low Risk and Low Reward. The evens bets are known for having the lowest overall variance in all of roulette. You can bet on whether the result will be even, odd, black, red, 1-18 or 19-36. Your chances of winning are very high with these bets, over 48 percent actually, so you have a fairly low risk. Low Risk / Low Reward This is a very simple system that anyone can play. If you want to just sit around and watch the game and secure a place at the table to watch then this is the system to use.
And the beautiful thing about craps is that it’s a game of pure chance. The best strategy is just to choose the bets with the lowest edge for the house and have fun.
But I’ll have some things to say about some of the strategies and systems that other writers promote, too.
They’re mostly bad craps strategies.Here’s the Only Craps Strategy You Need
When you’re dealing with an entirely random game – like craps – the only strategy that matters is choosing the bets with the lowest house edge and having fun.The only decision you make in craps is what bet to place.
I’ll have something to say about shooters and whether they have control over the outcomes later in this post, but for now, let’s just agree that games like craps are purely chance.
In other games that are entirely random, like slot machines, you don’t even really need to decide which bet to place. It’s chosen for you before you sit down.
When playing craps for real money, you have a handful of good bets you can make, but most of the bets on the table are bad. Just skip the bad bets, and you’re all set.The Bests Bets at the Craps Table
The best bets at the craps table are the pass line bet and the don’t pass bet.
The come and don’t come bets are also great wagers.
I always advise casino gamblers to try to limit their gambling to games where the house edge is lower than 2% — preferably 1.5% or lower.
The house edge for the pass and come bets is the same, 1.41%, which means they qualify.
The house edge for the don’t pass and don’t come bets is even lower, 1.36%, but the 0.05% isn’t worth worrying about. Most people prefer to root for the shooter to succeed.
The other bet to think about at the craps table is the odds bet. This is a bet you can only place after making one of the 4 bets I already mentioned and when the shooter has set a point.
This is one of the only bets in the casino that has no house edge. It’s a break-even bet, but it can be expensive.
It can also drive the effective house edge on the money you have in action down to almost nothing.
Here’s how that works.How the Odds Bet Changes the House Edge for the Better
If you’re betting on the pass line and the shooter sets a point, you can expect to lose $1.41 for every $100 you bet. That’s on average and in the long run.
If you’re playing at a casino that only allows you to place an odds bet at 1X the size of your pass line bet, you can put another $100 into action.
Your expected loss remains $1.41, though, which effectively cuts the house edge in half, from 1.41% to 0.71%.
If you’re able to bet 2X your original bet on the odds bet, you can lower that even further to 0.36%. (You have $300 in action, but your expected loss is still only $1.41.)
The more you’re able to bet on the odds bet, the lower the house edge for all the money you have in action becomes.
It’s clear why betting on the pass line and taking the most odds that you can is an effective strategy. With the odds bet, you can get the house edge in craps lower than 0.5% at least some of the time at the table, making it an even better game than blackjack.
And what’s more, you don’t have to memorize basic strategy to get the low house edge at craps.
You just need a big enough casino bankroll to make the right bets, and you need enough sense to avoid the bad bets at the table – of which there are many.Any Strategy that Involves Placing ANY Other Bets at the Craps Table Is a BAD Craps Strategy
There’s a reason gambling experts measure bets according to their house edge. That’s because it’s the single best indicator of how good or bad a bet is.
The house edge is a statistical estimate of how much money you’ll lose as a percentage of your original bet over the long run.
If the house edge is 1.41%, the casino expects to win an average of $1.41 every time you bet $100.
If the house edge is 16.66%, the casino expects to win an average of $16.66 every time you bet $100.
Which bet looks like the better bet for the casino?
And which one looks like the better bet for the gambler?
It shouldn’t be hard to make the distinction.Most of the bets at the craps table have a house edge of over 9%, making these bets worse than roulette, which is a notoriously bad game for the player.
Even the best of the bad bets on the craps table are inferior to the 1.41% or 1.36% you can get from the pass, don’t pass, come, and don’t come bets.
And trust me on this:
You can have PLENTY of fun sticking with the basic bets at the craps table.Betting Systems Where You Raise and Lower the Size of Your Bets Are Bad Strategies
The classic example of this kind of betting system is the Martingale System, where you double the size of your bets after each loss. When you do this repeatedly, you eventually win back the money you’ve lost along with a profit of one unit.
The problem with a system like the Martingale is that you’ll eventually run into a big enough losing streak that it will wipe out all those small profits and then some.
Most people underestimate how quickly a bet’s size gets when doubling after every loss.
They also overestimate how likely they are to avoid long losing streaks.
If you double a $5 bet once, that’s $10.
But if you run into a losing streak of 8 bets in a row, you’re looking at having to bet $640 to make up for your losses.
Also, every roll of the dice is an independent event. The odds don’t change based on how many times you’ve won or lost in a row.
You might think the probability of losing that 8th bet is lower than the likelihood of losing the first one, but the truth is that the dice have no memory. They have the same 6 sides, no matter how many times you’ve lost in a row.Low Risk High Reward Hard Ways Craps Strategy
Each bet in craps is an independent event, and any betting system will assume that the odds are changing based on how many times in a row you’ve won or lost.
Jul 8, 2019 - Explore Lori Barkdull’s board ’Casino Memes’, followed by 130 people on Pinterest. See more ideas about memes, casino, humor. Discover and share Funny Casino Quotes. Explore our collection of motivational and famous quotes by authors you know and love. I just want the bullshit to blow over for a while so I can run the casino. If anything goes wrong with the casino, it’s my ass. It’s not yours, it’s my ass. Nicky Santoro: Listen. I don’t know if you know this or not but you only have your f.in’ casino because I made that possible. I’m what counts out here. Money Management Strategies Don’t Hurt Anything, but They Won’t Improve Your Odds of Winning, Either
Money management strategies involve having strict gambling discipline about how much of your bankroll you’re willing to risk before quitting the game. They also require you to stop when you’ve won an arbitrary amount of money.
Money management techniques are often used in conjunction with betting systems.
Here’s an example of a money management strategy in craps:
You decide your bankroll for the session is $250, and you’re playing for $5 per roll of the dice.
Your stop-loss limit is $100, so, if your bankroll drops to $150, you must quit the craps session and go do something else.
Your win goal is $250, so once your bankroll gets up to $500, you must quit the game and go do something else.
This kind of strategy might increase your chances of walking away from the game a winner.
But that’s only because a lot of gamblers will just keep playing until they’ve lost their entire stake. They just don’t generally have a lot of sense about that sort of thing.The Jury’s Out on Dice Setting or Dice Control
I’ve seen multiple reputable gambling writers express interest and some belief that some craps shooters can influence the probability of specific outcomes. I’m skeptical – in the extreme – but I’ll give it an appropriate amount of credence.
The idea is that you hold the dice a specific way – “setting” the dice – then throw with a minimum amount of force – just enough to hit the back wall and eliminate most of the rolling action.
A controlled shooting expert doesn’t have to be perfect. Instead, they’re trying to be like someone who’s playing darts. They improve the probability enough to change the negative expectation on a bet to a positive expectation.For the most part, this means throwing the dice in such a way as to minimize the probability of getting a total of seven.
You can buy books and videos explaining how to get an edge at craps this way, but I can’t imagine the amount of practice and record-keeping required to have any confidence in your ability to change the odds.
Imagine if you spent 1000 hours trying to learn how to control the dice and coming up short. Maybe you just don’t have the knack for it.
That doesn’t sound like a good deal to me.
I’d rather learn to count cards in blackjack.ConclusionHigh Risk Reward Stock
Those are the best and the worst of the strategies I know of for playing craps in the casino. I know plenty of people who would disagree with every recommendation I’ve made, but the math behind the game doesn’t lie.
The best strategy is to stick with the bets with the lowest house edge and have as much fun as you can.
Thread Rating: DabbaSo currently my buy ins for craps are about 200 bucks and I play twice a month. I used to play with a lot more. Starting out I liked 3 point molly with full 5x odds on a $5 table, even taking it up to 10/50 when I had more winnings to play with. Currently though I’m just looking to stretch my playtime out as much as I can with $200.
I know it’s good to have 10x your average bet, so I figure I can have around $20 on the table at a time. For a warm or hot table I like to do PL with 1x odds and then $6 6 and 8. I take 4 hits and then start pressing out and then up with a take/press progression. If a point is hit I’ll take 2-3 hits then continue the press where I left off. Its been pretty fun.
But I need something for when the table is cold that works with my bankroll. I’ve tried a few and had success with good luck (for me anyone, sorry light siders) but the bankroll requirements are often too high. Lately I’ve been thinking of doing a $5 Don’t pass with 1x odds and placing the 6 and 8 for $6. Two hits and I take them down and wait for the 7/point to be made, then repeat. I really only intend to use this when the table is cold and there are a lot of seven outs. Advice on this? Any suggestions for any other systems to play with while the table is cold on the cheap?
Thanks!SOOPOO
So currently my buy ins for craps are about 200 bucks and I play twice a month. I used to play with a lot more. Starting out I liked 3 point molly with full 5x odds on a $5 table, even taking it up to 10/50 when I had more winnings to play with. Currently though I’m just looking to stretch my playtime out as much as I can with $200.
I know it’s good to have 10x your average bet, so I figure I can have around $20 on the table at a time. For a warm or hot table I like to do PL with 1x odds and then $6 6 and 8. I take 4 hits and then start pressing out and then up with a take/press progression. If a point is hit I’ll take 2-3 hits then continue the press where I left off. Its been pretty fun.
But I need something for when the table is cold that works with my bankroll. I’ve tried a few and had success with good luck (for me anyone, sorry light siders) but the bankroll requirements are often too high. Lately I’ve been thinking of doing a $5 Don’t pass with 1x odds and placing the 6 and 8 for $6. Two hits and I take them down and wait for the 7/point to be made, then repeat. I really only intend to use this when the table is cold and there are a lot of seven outs. Advice on this? Any suggestions for any other systems to play with while the table is cold on the cheap?
Thanks!
Welcome to the forum. If you want to have an intelligent conversation with any of the math/gambling experts here, the first thing you must learn is that there is NO SUCH THING as a warm or cold table. The result of next roll has NOTHING to do with what the previous rolls were. NOTHING. If you cannot understand and agree with that concept you will gain nothing from the answers you will receive.
If your main goal is to last as long as possible the best bet is table minimum on don’t pass. If that is too boring for you then adding the place bets you mention will slightly hasten your exit on average. If you have a different goal, such as doubling your initial stake, that’s another discussion.Ace2
Currently though I’m just looking to stretch my playtime out as much as I can with $200
Assuming you like to have about $20 on the table, bet $10 on pass or don’t pass with 1 x odds. You will have about a 2 in 3 chance of surviving 100 bets, roughly 2 hours of play.It’s all about making that GTADabbaHmm. I know past rolls of the dice have no effect on future rolls, but I also know there is variance. Sometimes the variance is high in one way or another for a time, which is when you see people bust or make a ton of money. That is what I mean by hot and cold. There’s no way to predict variance of course but if you happen to be playing the same side as the variance is. then you can make money. I know it’s all luck and random and a -EV game, but I like to do my best to ride the variances one way or the other.
I do like to play 3 numbers including the point, but I’m always looking for other interesting ways to play to have some fun. I’d like to stay the longest, but wouldnt mind doubling my money either. But I have a feeling if I said if I want the best way to double my money you guys would say place it all on the PL and full odds and pray. I would like something though that can develop to money making on a hot roll. like a take/press progression. Just on the darkside if possible.Ace2
I’d like to stay the longest, but wouldnt mind doubling my money either if possible. Problem is, those 2 goals generally have an inverse relationship.It’s all about making that GTADabba
Problem is, those 2 goals generally have an inverse relationship.
Figured, which is why I said you’d probably tell me just to make a big PL bet with max odds and pray. Luckily my casino is $5 min.ahiromuThanks for this post from:
Walk away when you lose. Any step you take towards session length preservation will inevitably decrease your positive variance in one way or another (aka: if you try to stay alive at a cold table, you’ll miss out on a hot roll). Also known as regret.
You’re already starting at the table minimum and not pressing immediately. These are my generic answers: Start at lower values (like only bet the 6 OR 8) or press less often (not at all). Those are the two options I see.
Don’t hedge. Don’t hedge. Don’t hedge.Low Risk High Reward BusinessIts - Possessive; It’s - ’It is’ / ’It has’; There - Location; Their - Possessive; They’re - ’They are’DabbaI do walk away when I lose. I lost a lot of money making stupid bets and not adapting my betting to table conditions, but I do have a loss limit, and I also do have a win limit. which I’m still working on being good with!odiousgambitThanks for this post from:
I do walk away when I lose. I lost a lot of money making stupid bets and not adapting my betting to table conditions, but I do have a loss limit, and I also do have a win limit. which I’m still working on being good with! There’s evidence in your statement that you are working with several fallacies, one in particular. The glaring one, hot/cold tables, definitely needs to be quashed. Now you said you know that previous rolls don’t effect future rolls, but here you are still are talking about ’table conditions’. Sure, it can be proved that the results of what has taken place already can be deemed good or bad, to say it was a hot or cold table if you like, but you cannot say it will be a hot or cold table since the future starts with the next roll. If you could, your bankroll is gigantic compared to what you would need.
The fact of the matter is Craps is not a good game to play with an inadequate bankroll. If you stick to just making the Pass line bet with little or no odds, it is a boring game, known to have low variance. The usual experience would be watching your bankroll slowly dwindle with some unexciting, minimal ups and downs along the way. I’ve never seen anybody stick with that.
If you can’t produce a big bankroll all the time, should you gamble at all? There are a lot of factors to look at, and I can’t address all of them, but assuming you are not at risk to becoming a gambling addict, I think anyone can still play the same way I assume about anyone can and should indulge in some recreation of some kind. Gambling can be some of the best Escape, something most of us need too. It can be a cheap form of recreation compared to some of the other choices out there, like golf.
In your case, I would have to say what I would do is accept that I can’t go all the time. I would save up my money, the amounts which you have already deemed to be expendable, till I had $1000 and go to the table with that. If you balk at that amount, then you are working with another fallacy. It is quite possible that your ’total action’ would actually be less doing this than the way you have been doing it.the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. .. Arnold Snyderklimate10Thanks for this post from:
If you want a low risk system, my system really does work to significantly lower the expected loss per hour.
Buy in, but do not bet until a shooter wins
https://diarynote-jp.indered.space
*Low Risk High Reward Hard Ways Craps Strategy
*High Risk Reward Stock
*Low Risk High Reward Business
I’m writing a series of blog posts about casino games and the good and bad strategies for playing those games.
Craps is one of my favorite casino games, so I’ve been looking forward to writing this one.
In craps, a good strategy is to maintain a pattern and stick to it. If you want to make a one time killing, then bet on the high-odds propositions, but don’t be surprised if you are disappointed. Whether you quit after a win or spend a long time at the table, it’s all about the playing. Best case scenario is the numbers keep hitting so you can spread to different numbers or keep pressing. Its a low risk, possible high reward system. I usually play this until I am up $100 and then when the table turns cold I like to hammer the Don’t. Roulette Strategies With Low Risk and Low Reward. The evens bets are known for having the lowest overall variance in all of roulette. You can bet on whether the result will be even, odd, black, red, 1-18 or 19-36. Your chances of winning are very high with these bets, over 48 percent actually, so you have a fairly low risk. Low Risk / Low Reward This is a very simple system that anyone can play. If you want to just sit around and watch the game and secure a place at the table to watch then this is the system to use.
And the beautiful thing about craps is that it’s a game of pure chance. The best strategy is just to choose the bets with the lowest edge for the house and have fun.
But I’ll have some things to say about some of the strategies and systems that other writers promote, too.
They’re mostly bad craps strategies.Here’s the Only Craps Strategy You Need
When you’re dealing with an entirely random game – like craps – the only strategy that matters is choosing the bets with the lowest house edge and having fun.The only decision you make in craps is what bet to place.
I’ll have something to say about shooters and whether they have control over the outcomes later in this post, but for now, let’s just agree that games like craps are purely chance.
In other games that are entirely random, like slot machines, you don’t even really need to decide which bet to place. It’s chosen for you before you sit down.
When playing craps for real money, you have a handful of good bets you can make, but most of the bets on the table are bad. Just skip the bad bets, and you’re all set.The Bests Bets at the Craps Table
The best bets at the craps table are the pass line bet and the don’t pass bet.
The come and don’t come bets are also great wagers.
I always advise casino gamblers to try to limit their gambling to games where the house edge is lower than 2% — preferably 1.5% or lower.
The house edge for the pass and come bets is the same, 1.41%, which means they qualify.
The house edge for the don’t pass and don’t come bets is even lower, 1.36%, but the 0.05% isn’t worth worrying about. Most people prefer to root for the shooter to succeed.
The other bet to think about at the craps table is the odds bet. This is a bet you can only place after making one of the 4 bets I already mentioned and when the shooter has set a point.
This is one of the only bets in the casino that has no house edge. It’s a break-even bet, but it can be expensive.
It can also drive the effective house edge on the money you have in action down to almost nothing.
Here’s how that works.How the Odds Bet Changes the House Edge for the Better
If you’re betting on the pass line and the shooter sets a point, you can expect to lose $1.41 for every $100 you bet. That’s on average and in the long run.
If you’re playing at a casino that only allows you to place an odds bet at 1X the size of your pass line bet, you can put another $100 into action.
Your expected loss remains $1.41, though, which effectively cuts the house edge in half, from 1.41% to 0.71%.
If you’re able to bet 2X your original bet on the odds bet, you can lower that even further to 0.36%. (You have $300 in action, but your expected loss is still only $1.41.)
The more you’re able to bet on the odds bet, the lower the house edge for all the money you have in action becomes.
It’s clear why betting on the pass line and taking the most odds that you can is an effective strategy. With the odds bet, you can get the house edge in craps lower than 0.5% at least some of the time at the table, making it an even better game than blackjack.
And what’s more, you don’t have to memorize basic strategy to get the low house edge at craps.
You just need a big enough casino bankroll to make the right bets, and you need enough sense to avoid the bad bets at the table – of which there are many.Any Strategy that Involves Placing ANY Other Bets at the Craps Table Is a BAD Craps Strategy
There’s a reason gambling experts measure bets according to their house edge. That’s because it’s the single best indicator of how good or bad a bet is.
The house edge is a statistical estimate of how much money you’ll lose as a percentage of your original bet over the long run.
If the house edge is 1.41%, the casino expects to win an average of $1.41 every time you bet $100.
If the house edge is 16.66%, the casino expects to win an average of $16.66 every time you bet $100.
Which bet looks like the better bet for the casino?
And which one looks like the better bet for the gambler?
It shouldn’t be hard to make the distinction.Most of the bets at the craps table have a house edge of over 9%, making these bets worse than roulette, which is a notoriously bad game for the player.
Even the best of the bad bets on the craps table are inferior to the 1.41% or 1.36% you can get from the pass, don’t pass, come, and don’t come bets.
And trust me on this:
You can have PLENTY of fun sticking with the basic bets at the craps table.Betting Systems Where You Raise and Lower the Size of Your Bets Are Bad Strategies
The classic example of this kind of betting system is the Martingale System, where you double the size of your bets after each loss. When you do this repeatedly, you eventually win back the money you’ve lost along with a profit of one unit.
The problem with a system like the Martingale is that you’ll eventually run into a big enough losing streak that it will wipe out all those small profits and then some.
Most people underestimate how quickly a bet’s size gets when doubling after every loss.
They also overestimate how likely they are to avoid long losing streaks.
If you double a $5 bet once, that’s $10.
But if you run into a losing streak of 8 bets in a row, you’re looking at having to bet $640 to make up for your losses.
Also, every roll of the dice is an independent event. The odds don’t change based on how many times you’ve won or lost in a row.
You might think the probability of losing that 8th bet is lower than the likelihood of losing the first one, but the truth is that the dice have no memory. They have the same 6 sides, no matter how many times you’ve lost in a row.Low Risk High Reward Hard Ways Craps Strategy
Each bet in craps is an independent event, and any betting system will assume that the odds are changing based on how many times in a row you’ve won or lost.
Jul 8, 2019 - Explore Lori Barkdull’s board ’Casino Memes’, followed by 130 people on Pinterest. See more ideas about memes, casino, humor. Discover and share Funny Casino Quotes. Explore our collection of motivational and famous quotes by authors you know and love. I just want the bullshit to blow over for a while so I can run the casino. If anything goes wrong with the casino, it’s my ass. It’s not yours, it’s my ass. Nicky Santoro: Listen. I don’t know if you know this or not but you only have your f.in’ casino because I made that possible. I’m what counts out here. Money Management Strategies Don’t Hurt Anything, but They Won’t Improve Your Odds of Winning, Either
Money management strategies involve having strict gambling discipline about how much of your bankroll you’re willing to risk before quitting the game. They also require you to stop when you’ve won an arbitrary amount of money.
Money management techniques are often used in conjunction with betting systems.
Here’s an example of a money management strategy in craps:
You decide your bankroll for the session is $250, and you’re playing for $5 per roll of the dice.
Your stop-loss limit is $100, so, if your bankroll drops to $150, you must quit the craps session and go do something else.
Your win goal is $250, so once your bankroll gets up to $500, you must quit the game and go do something else.
This kind of strategy might increase your chances of walking away from the game a winner.
But that’s only because a lot of gamblers will just keep playing until they’ve lost their entire stake. They just don’t generally have a lot of sense about that sort of thing.The Jury’s Out on Dice Setting or Dice Control
I’ve seen multiple reputable gambling writers express interest and some belief that some craps shooters can influence the probability of specific outcomes. I’m skeptical – in the extreme – but I’ll give it an appropriate amount of credence.
The idea is that you hold the dice a specific way – “setting” the dice – then throw with a minimum amount of force – just enough to hit the back wall and eliminate most of the rolling action.
A controlled shooting expert doesn’t have to be perfect. Instead, they’re trying to be like someone who’s playing darts. They improve the probability enough to change the negative expectation on a bet to a positive expectation.For the most part, this means throwing the dice in such a way as to minimize the probability of getting a total of seven.
You can buy books and videos explaining how to get an edge at craps this way, but I can’t imagine the amount of practice and record-keeping required to have any confidence in your ability to change the odds.
Imagine if you spent 1000 hours trying to learn how to control the dice and coming up short. Maybe you just don’t have the knack for it.
That doesn’t sound like a good deal to me.
I’d rather learn to count cards in blackjack.ConclusionHigh Risk Reward Stock
Those are the best and the worst of the strategies I know of for playing craps in the casino. I know plenty of people who would disagree with every recommendation I’ve made, but the math behind the game doesn’t lie.
The best strategy is to stick with the bets with the lowest house edge and have as much fun as you can.
Thread Rating: DabbaSo currently my buy ins for craps are about 200 bucks and I play twice a month. I used to play with a lot more. Starting out I liked 3 point molly with full 5x odds on a $5 table, even taking it up to 10/50 when I had more winnings to play with. Currently though I’m just looking to stretch my playtime out as much as I can with $200.
I know it’s good to have 10x your average bet, so I figure I can have around $20 on the table at a time. For a warm or hot table I like to do PL with 1x odds and then $6 6 and 8. I take 4 hits and then start pressing out and then up with a take/press progression. If a point is hit I’ll take 2-3 hits then continue the press where I left off. Its been pretty fun.
But I need something for when the table is cold that works with my bankroll. I’ve tried a few and had success with good luck (for me anyone, sorry light siders) but the bankroll requirements are often too high. Lately I’ve been thinking of doing a $5 Don’t pass with 1x odds and placing the 6 and 8 for $6. Two hits and I take them down and wait for the 7/point to be made, then repeat. I really only intend to use this when the table is cold and there are a lot of seven outs. Advice on this? Any suggestions for any other systems to play with while the table is cold on the cheap?
Thanks!SOOPOO
So currently my buy ins for craps are about 200 bucks and I play twice a month. I used to play with a lot more. Starting out I liked 3 point molly with full 5x odds on a $5 table, even taking it up to 10/50 when I had more winnings to play with. Currently though I’m just looking to stretch my playtime out as much as I can with $200.
I know it’s good to have 10x your average bet, so I figure I can have around $20 on the table at a time. For a warm or hot table I like to do PL with 1x odds and then $6 6 and 8. I take 4 hits and then start pressing out and then up with a take/press progression. If a point is hit I’ll take 2-3 hits then continue the press where I left off. Its been pretty fun.
But I need something for when the table is cold that works with my bankroll. I’ve tried a few and had success with good luck (for me anyone, sorry light siders) but the bankroll requirements are often too high. Lately I’ve been thinking of doing a $5 Don’t pass with 1x odds and placing the 6 and 8 for $6. Two hits and I take them down and wait for the 7/point to be made, then repeat. I really only intend to use this when the table is cold and there are a lot of seven outs. Advice on this? Any suggestions for any other systems to play with while the table is cold on the cheap?
Thanks!
Welcome to the forum. If you want to have an intelligent conversation with any of the math/gambling experts here, the first thing you must learn is that there is NO SUCH THING as a warm or cold table. The result of next roll has NOTHING to do with what the previous rolls were. NOTHING. If you cannot understand and agree with that concept you will gain nothing from the answers you will receive.
If your main goal is to last as long as possible the best bet is table minimum on don’t pass. If that is too boring for you then adding the place bets you mention will slightly hasten your exit on average. If you have a different goal, such as doubling your initial stake, that’s another discussion.Ace2
Currently though I’m just looking to stretch my playtime out as much as I can with $200
Assuming you like to have about $20 on the table, bet $10 on pass or don’t pass with 1 x odds. You will have about a 2 in 3 chance of surviving 100 bets, roughly 2 hours of play.It’s all about making that GTADabbaHmm. I know past rolls of the dice have no effect on future rolls, but I also know there is variance. Sometimes the variance is high in one way or another for a time, which is when you see people bust or make a ton of money. That is what I mean by hot and cold. There’s no way to predict variance of course but if you happen to be playing the same side as the variance is. then you can make money. I know it’s all luck and random and a -EV game, but I like to do my best to ride the variances one way or the other.
I do like to play 3 numbers including the point, but I’m always looking for other interesting ways to play to have some fun. I’d like to stay the longest, but wouldnt mind doubling my money either. But I have a feeling if I said if I want the best way to double my money you guys would say place it all on the PL and full odds and pray. I would like something though that can develop to money making on a hot roll. like a take/press progression. Just on the darkside if possible.Ace2
I’d like to stay the longest, but wouldnt mind doubling my money either if possible. Problem is, those 2 goals generally have an inverse relationship.It’s all about making that GTADabba
Problem is, those 2 goals generally have an inverse relationship.
Figured, which is why I said you’d probably tell me just to make a big PL bet with max odds and pray. Luckily my casino is $5 min.ahiromuThanks for this post from:
Walk away when you lose. Any step you take towards session length preservation will inevitably decrease your positive variance in one way or another (aka: if you try to stay alive at a cold table, you’ll miss out on a hot roll). Also known as regret.
You’re already starting at the table minimum and not pressing immediately. These are my generic answers: Start at lower values (like only bet the 6 OR 8) or press less often (not at all). Those are the two options I see.
Don’t hedge. Don’t hedge. Don’t hedge.Low Risk High Reward BusinessIts - Possessive; It’s - ’It is’ / ’It has’; There - Location; Their - Possessive; They’re - ’They are’DabbaI do walk away when I lose. I lost a lot of money making stupid bets and not adapting my betting to table conditions, but I do have a loss limit, and I also do have a win limit. which I’m still working on being good with!odiousgambitThanks for this post from:
I do walk away when I lose. I lost a lot of money making stupid bets and not adapting my betting to table conditions, but I do have a loss limit, and I also do have a win limit. which I’m still working on being good with! There’s evidence in your statement that you are working with several fallacies, one in particular. The glaring one, hot/cold tables, definitely needs to be quashed. Now you said you know that previous rolls don’t effect future rolls, but here you are still are talking about ’table conditions’. Sure, it can be proved that the results of what has taken place already can be deemed good or bad, to say it was a hot or cold table if you like, but you cannot say it will be a hot or cold table since the future starts with the next roll. If you could, your bankroll is gigantic compared to what you would need.
The fact of the matter is Craps is not a good game to play with an inadequate bankroll. If you stick to just making the Pass line bet with little or no odds, it is a boring game, known to have low variance. The usual experience would be watching your bankroll slowly dwindle with some unexciting, minimal ups and downs along the way. I’ve never seen anybody stick with that.
If you can’t produce a big bankroll all the time, should you gamble at all? There are a lot of factors to look at, and I can’t address all of them, but assuming you are not at risk to becoming a gambling addict, I think anyone can still play the same way I assume about anyone can and should indulge in some recreation of some kind. Gambling can be some of the best Escape, something most of us need too. It can be a cheap form of recreation compared to some of the other choices out there, like golf.
In your case, I would have to say what I would do is accept that I can’t go all the time. I would save up my money, the amounts which you have already deemed to be expendable, till I had $1000 and go to the table with that. If you balk at that amount, then you are working with another fallacy. It is quite possible that your ’total action’ would actually be less doing this than the way you have been doing it.the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. .. Arnold Snyderklimate10Thanks for this post from:
If you want a low risk system, my system really does work to significantly lower the expected loss per hour.
Buy in, but do not bet until a shooter wins
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